Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 12.412385 14.523362 16.829910 19.530071 22.596776 25.963790 29.932329
2025-05-18 8.584431 11.371357 14.742713 19.085911 24.493517 30.962654 39.240689
2025-05-25 6.373623 9.340704 13.234874 18.640508 25.857556 35.058248 47.554437
2025-06-01 4.918557 7.872225 12.030147 18.175907 26.866576 38.529991 55.138784
2025-06-08 3.753122 6.526737 10.693960 17.216415 26.926999 40.562698 60.795229
2025-06-15 3.280488 6.112618 10.601791 17.961047 29.375782 45.984525 71.427848
2025-06-22 2.825856 5.628480 10.303991 18.310115 31.210070 50.602714 81.185904
2025-06-29 2.336204 4.982240 9.631435 17.946942 31.858369 53.448723 88.467510
2025-07-06 1.884573 4.310282 8.802044 17.192964 31.760077 55.081496 93.948602
2025-07-13 1.757778 4.240634 9.024111 18.254479 34.722671 61.693247 107.535671
2025-07-20 1.629752 4.142532 9.173424 19.188157 37.526127 68.209781 121.335778
2025-07-27 1.447991 3.892903 8.992456 19.482309 39.218465 72.983470 132.567448
2025-08-03 1.228985 3.534347 8.582519 19.374449 40.329566 77.110268 143.446033
2025-08-10 1.016818 3.145971 8.057963 18.995705 40.946802 80.513251 153.493082
2025-08-17 0.837793 2.792387 7.544482 18.562877 41.403581 83.650749 163.281425
2025-08-24 0.688912 2.475894 7.054276 18.101800 41.737635 86.560830 172.822277
2025-08-31 0.541231 2.115131 6.386100 17.146013 40.957026 87.323079 178.527793
2025-09-07 0.496966 2.057869 6.462943 17.888076 43.747486 94.992608 197.257794
2025-09-14 0.441158 1.946232 6.377931 18.235930 45.725969 101.220620 213.656846
2025-09-21 0.367471 1.747952 6.020538 17.874033 46.121906 104.365971 224.422683
2025-09-28 0.294143 1.522030 5.536907 17.122711 45.565048 105.551772 231.484588
2025-10-05 0.281839 1.530994 5.745426 18.180492 49.219820 115.513285 256.104666
2025-10-12 0.266437 1.522455 5.899285 19.110910 52.651903 125.208479 280.666661